BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 43 Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength = 181.01
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (2-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W * 188.88 24 17 1A 47 (3-2) East Carolina 7.90 3.58 -0.90
2 09/06/2025 Home W * * 192.62 35 31 1A 20 (5-1) Virginia 11.63 -10.55 -7.63
3 09/11/2025 Away W * * 183.99 34 24 1A 69 (3-2) Wake Forest 3.00 18.15 7.00
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 173.31 33 45 1A 33 (4-2) Duke -7.68 7.31 -4.32
5 09/27/2025 Home L * * 166.22 21 23 1A 71 (2-4) Virginia Tech -14.76 16.86 12.76
6 10/04/2025 Home W 180.90 56 10 1B 75 (1-5) Campbell -0.09 * 44.54 46.09
7 10/11/2025 Away * 1A 3 (3-2) Notre Dame -30.19
8 10/25/2025 Away * * 1A 46 (3-2) Pittsburgh -0.20
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1A 42 (5-0) Georgia Tech 2.02
10 11/15/2025 Away * * 1A 4 (4-0) Miami FL -28.67
11 11/21/2025 Home * * 1A 7 (3-2) Florida St -17.71
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 118 (2-3) North Carolina 28.24
Averages 180.99 33.8 25.0
Best game: 192.62 = 4 point win over Virginia
Worst game: 166.22 = 2 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev: 9.83