BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 37 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 163.73
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W * 167.52 24 17 1A 43 ( 9- 4) East Carolina 3.98 3.58 3.02
2 09/06/2025 Home W * * 168.37 35 31 1A 32 (11- 3) Virginia 4.84 -10.55 -0.84
3 09/11/2025 Away W * * 172.14 34 24 1A 50 ( 9- 4) Wake Forest 8.61 18.15 1.39
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 151.81 33 45 1A 44 ( 9- 5) Duke -11.73 7.31 -0.27
5 09/27/2025 Home L * * 148.98 21 23 1A 76 ( 3- 9) Virginia Tech -14.55 18.21 12.55
6 10/04/2025 Home W 161.19 56 10 1B 86 ( 2-10) Campbell -2.34 * 44.59 48.34
7 10/11/2025 Away L * 158.32 7 36 1A 4 (10- 2) Notre Dame -5.22 -27.41 -23.78
8 10/25/2025 Away L * * 149.10 34 53 1A 31 ( 8- 5) Pittsburgh -14.43 -4.72 -4.57
9 11/01/2025 Home W * * 173.57 48 36 1A 41 ( 9- 4) Georgia Tech 10.04 -5.89 1.96
10 11/15/2025 Away L * * 148.43 7 41 1A 6 (13- 2) Miami FL -15.11 -19.79 -18.89
11 11/21/2025 Home W * * 176.43 21 11 1A 36 ( 5- 7) Florida St 12.89 -6.56 -2.89
12 11/29/2025 Home W * * 168.57 42 19 1A 92 ( 4- 8) North Carolina 5.04 15.41 17.96
13 12/19/2025 Neutral W * 181.50 31 7 1A 64 ( 8- 5) Memphis 17.97 1.67 6.03
Averages 163.53 30.2 27.2
Best game: 181.50 = 24 point win over Memphis
Worst game: 148.43 = 34 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 11.35